EdgeGoat
Ty France
San Diego Padres · #25 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.9% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.2% | 81.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.3% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 8 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 71.1% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 78.9% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 83.5% | 76.5% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 21 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.1% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.6% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.0% | 65.5% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.9%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 88.2%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.3%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 8 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 71.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 83.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 21 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ty France's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on Ty France, 6 won and 5 lost.
Every Ty France line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).