EdgeGoat
Tyler Mahle
Atlanta Braves · #54 · 44 games logged
IP · last 205.6
K · last 205.1
HA · last 205.1
ER · last 202.2
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | vs PHI | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 24 | vs CIN | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | @ HOU | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | vs PHI | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 6 | @ PHI | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 30 | vs COL | 6.2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 23 | vs MIL | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 18 | @ MIN | 6.2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Aug 12 | vs NYM | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 7 | @ NYY | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 1 | @ SD | 5.2 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Jul 27 | vs MIL | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Jul 21 | @ KC | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Jul 11 | vs COL | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Jul 5 | @ COL | 4.1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Jun 29 | @ ARI | 4.1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Jun 24 | vs ATH | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| May 26 | vs ARI | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| May 20 | @ ARI | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| May 15 | @ ATH | 5 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 7 · projected 15.7 | 15.7 | 76.7% | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 Hits Allowed | Oct 7 · projected 4.8 | 4.8 | 71.2% | 61.5% |
| Over 1.5 Earned Runs | Oct 7 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 66.1% | 60.0% |
| Over 3.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 7 · projected 4.8 | 4.8 | 69.7% | 58.3% |
| Over 14.5 Innings Pitched | Sep 30 · projected 15.6 | 15.6 | 59.2% | 56.5% |
- Over 13.5 Outs RecordedOct 7 · projected 15.7
- Model
- 76.7%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 3.5 Hits AllowedOct 7 · projected 4.8
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 1.5 Earned RunsOct 7 · projected 2.5
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 3.5 Pitcher K'sOct 7 · projected 4.8
- Model
- 69.7%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 14.5 Innings PitchedSep 30 · projected 15.6
- Model
- 59.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Tyler Mahle averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Tyler Mahle is averaging 5.6 ip, 5.1 k, 5.1 ha, 2.2 er.
How did Tyler Mahle play in the last game?
On Wednesday, September 30, 2026 vs PHI, Tyler Mahle recorded 7 ip, 6 k, 6 ha, 1 er.
Every Tyler Mahle line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).