Tyler Stephenson

Cincinnati Reds · #37 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 26 · projected 0.4	0.4	75.0%	67.7%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 25 · projected 1.0	1.0	60.8%	55.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 14 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.1%	65.5%	void(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 9 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.0%	69.2%	void(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 7 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	72.2%	pending
Under 0.5 runsScored	May 5 · projected 0.3	0.3	83.2%	60.8%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 5 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	67.7%	won(1)
Under 0.5 rbis	May 5 · projected 0.3	0.3	95.8%	73.3%	won(0)

Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 26 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
75.0%
Book
67.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 25 · projected 1.0
won(1)
Model
60.8%
Book
55.6%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 14 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
98.1%
Book
65.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 9 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
98.0%
Book
69.2%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 7 · projected 0.6
pending
Model
97.1%
Book
72.2%
Under 0.5 runsScored
May 5 · projected 0.3
won(0)
Model
83.2%
Book
60.8%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 5 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
97.1%
Book
67.7%
Under 0.5 rbis
May 5 · projected 0.3
won(0)
Model
95.8%
Book
73.3%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Tyler Stephenson's props?

Across the last 5 graded model lines on Tyler Stephenson, 5 won and 0 lost.

Every Tyler Stephenson line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).