EdgeGoat
Tyler Tolbert
Kansas City Royals · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.9% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.5% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jul 1 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 73.8% | 69.2% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJul 1 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 73.8%
- Book
- 69.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Tyler Tolbert's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Tyler Tolbert, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Tyler Tolbert line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).