EdgeGoat
Victor Mesa Jr.
Tampa Bay Rays · #25 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.4% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.7% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 9 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 64.7% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 19 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 67.2% | 56.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 68.5% | 64.3% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 9 · projected 1.5lost(0)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 19 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 64.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Victor Mesa Jr.'s props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Victor Mesa Jr., 3 won and 1 lost.
Every Victor Mesa Jr. line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).