Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · #27 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 26 · projected 0.4	0.4	78.8%	75.0%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 20 · projected 1.2	1.2	69.5%	67.7%	won(1)
Over 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 20 · projected 0.7	0.7	63.3%	33.9%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 totalBases	Aug 3 · projected 1.7	1.7	70.2%	69.2%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 totalBases	Jul 21 · projected 1.6	1.6	69.5%	68.8%	pending
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Jul 6 · projected 0.4	0.4	79.1%	66.7%	lost(1)
Under 0.5 runsScored	Jul 6 · projected 0.4	0.4	76.0%	61.5%	won(0)
Under 0.5 rbis	Jul 6 · projected 0.4	0.4	82.6%	73.3%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 15 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.2%	60.8%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 13 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.3%	59.2%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 13 · projected 0.9	0.9	84.9%	73.3%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 12 · projected 0.9	0.9	74.0%	73.3%	lost(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 12 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.3%	60.8%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 11 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.3%	60.8%	won(0)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 11 · projected 0.9	0.9	91.6%	71.4%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 9 · projected 0.9	0.9	73.9%	73.3%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 9 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.2%	59.2%	lost(2)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 6 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	61.5%	won(0)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 5 · projected 0.9	0.9	90.6%	66.1%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 5 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	93.3%	won(0)

Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 26 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
78.8%
Book
75.0%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 20 · projected 1.2
won(1)
Model
69.5%
Book
67.7%
Over 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 20 · projected 0.7
lost(0)
Model
63.3%
Book
33.9%
Over 0.5 totalBases
Aug 3 · projected 1.7
lost(0)
Model
70.2%
Book
69.2%
Over 0.5 totalBases
Jul 21 · projected 1.6
pending
Model
69.5%
Book
68.8%
Under 0.5 batterWalks
Jul 6 · projected 0.4
lost(1)
Model
79.1%
Book
66.7%
Under 0.5 runsScored
Jul 6 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
76.0%
Book
61.5%
Under 0.5 rbis
Jul 6 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
82.6%
Book
73.3%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 15 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
97.2%
Book
60.8%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 13 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
98.3%
Book
59.2%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 13 · projected 0.9
lost(0)
Model
84.9%
Book
73.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 12 · projected 0.9
lost(0)
Model
74.0%
Book
73.3%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 12 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
98.3%
Book
60.8%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 11 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
98.3%
Book
60.8%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 11 · projected 0.9
won(0)
Model
91.6%
Book
71.4%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 9 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
73.9%
Book
73.3%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 9 · projected 0.6
lost(2)
Model
98.2%
Book
59.2%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 6 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
97.1%
Book
61.5%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 5 · projected 0.9
won(0)
Model
90.6%
Book
66.1%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 5 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
97.1%
Book
93.3%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s props?

Across the last 19 graded model lines on Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 13 won and 6 lost.

Every Vladimir Guerrero Jr. line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).