EdgeGoat
Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres · #10 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Sep 15 · projected 4.2 | 4.2 | 68.1% | 47.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Sep 4 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 74.1% | 70.6% | won(4) |
| Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Aug 29 · projected 4.2 | 4.2 | 60.4% | 48.8% | lost(3) |
| Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Aug 23 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 62.6% | 55.6% | pending |
| Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Jul 21 · projected 4.2 | 4.2 | 60.1% | 59.2% | pending |
| Over 4.5 hitsAllowed | Jul 6 · projected 5.1 | 5.1 | 57.8% | 55.6% | won(5) |
| Under 15.5 inningsPitched | Jul 6 · projected 14.7 | 14.7 | 59.8% | 57.4% | won(15) |
| Under 2.5 pitcherWalks | Jul 6 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 78.3% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Jul 6 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 62.6% | 62.3% | won(4) |
- Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeoutsSep 15 · projected 4.2lost(1)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeoutsSep 4 · projected 4.3won(4)
- Model
- 74.1%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeoutsAug 29 · projected 4.2lost(3)
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeoutsAug 23 · projected 4.3pending
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeoutsJul 21 · projected 4.2pending
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 4.5 hitsAllowedJul 6 · projected 5.1won(5)
- Model
- 57.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 15.5 inningsPitchedJul 6 · projected 14.7won(15)
- Model
- 59.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 2.5 pitcherWalksJul 6 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 78.3%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 3.5 pitcherStrikeoutsJul 6 · projected 4.3won(4)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 62.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Walker Buehler's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Walker Buehler, 5 won and 2 lost.
Every Walker Buehler line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).