Will Smith

Los Angeles Dodgers · #16 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Over 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 25 · projected 0.8	0.8	68.2%	43.5%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 13 · projected 0.8	0.8	65.6%	65.5%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 7 · projected 0.8	0.8	63.4%	60.8%	lost(0)
Under 0.5 runsScored	Sep 4 · projected 0.4	0.4	81.4%	56.5%	won(0)
Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 27 · projected 0.7	0.7	98.4%	52.4%	won(1)
Under 0.5 stolenBases	May 14 · projected 0.0	0.0	99.9%	98.0%	won(0)
Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 14 · projected 1.7	1.7	99.9%	99.8%	won(3)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 14 · projected 0.8	0.8	82.6%	28.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 14 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.1%	94.1%	lost(4)
Under 1.5 rbis	May 14 · projected 0.5	0.5	95.7%	92.3%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 13 · projected 0.8	0.8	82.4%	73.3%	lost(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 13 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.1%	60.0%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 12 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.1%	60.8%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 12 · projected 0.8	0.8	82.4%	71.4%	lost(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 10 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.0%	94.1%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 10 · projected 0.8	0.8	82.9%	27.8%	void(0)
Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 10 · projected 1.7	1.7	83.9%	33.9%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 9 · projected 0.8	0.8	82.9%	66.1%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 9 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.0%	64.3%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 6 · projected 0.8	0.8	80.3%	73.3%	void(0)

Over 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 25 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
68.2%
Book
43.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 13 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
65.6%
Book
65.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 7 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
63.4%
Book
60.8%
Under 0.5 runsScored
Sep 4 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
81.4%
Book
56.5%
Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 27 · projected 0.7
won(1)
Model
98.4%
Book
52.4%
Under 0.5 stolenBases
May 14 · projected 0.0
won(0)
Model
99.9%
Book
98.0%
Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 14 · projected 1.7
won(3)
Model
99.9%
Book
99.8%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 14 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
82.6%
Book
28.6%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 14 · projected 0.6
lost(4)
Model
98.1%
Book
94.1%
Under 1.5 rbis
May 14 · projected 0.5
won(1)
Model
95.7%
Book
92.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 13 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
82.4%
Book
73.3%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 13 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
98.1%
Book
60.0%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 12 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
98.1%
Book
60.8%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 12 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
82.4%
Book
71.4%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 10 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
98.0%
Book
94.1%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 10 · projected 0.8
void(0)
Model
82.9%
Book
27.8%
Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 10 · projected 1.7
void(0)
Model
83.9%
Book
33.9%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 9 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
82.9%
Book
66.1%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 9 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
98.0%
Book
64.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 6 · projected 0.8
void(0)
Model
80.3%
Book
73.3%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Will Smith's props?

Across the last 16 graded model lines on Will Smith, 11 won and 5 lost.

Every Will Smith line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).