EdgeGoat
William Contreras
Milwaukee Brewers · #24 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 16 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.2% | 59.2% | pending |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 31 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 72.8% | 71.4% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.0% | 44.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.2% | 66.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 60.0% | lost(2) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 18 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 59.9% | 56.5% | won(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 62.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.3% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.3% | 73.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 60.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.3% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 61.5% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 10 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.0% | 63.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.0% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 68.8% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 72.2% | pending |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 98.4% | pending |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 61.0% | 50.0% | pending |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 16 · projected 1.1pending
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 31 · projected 1.9won(2)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.2void(0)
- Model
- 69.2%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 18 · projected 1.8won(2)
- Model
- 59.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 10 · projected 0.9pending
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1pending
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0pending
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.9pending
- Model
- 61.0%
- Book
- 50.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on William Contreras's props?
Across the last 13 graded model lines on William Contreras, 6 won and 7 lost.
Every William Contreras line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).