EdgeGoat
Willy Adames
San Francisco Giants · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 7 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 68.0% | 64.9% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.6% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 68.6% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 28 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 61.2% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | Jun 26 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 94.8% | 92.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 83.3% | 69.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.4% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 26 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 44.6% | 43.5% | won(3) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.7% | 98.6% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 runsScored | May 17 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 99.9% | 99.8% | won(2) |
| Under 3.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 80.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 17 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 96.2% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 17 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 85.0% | 76.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 2.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 97.5% | 80.0% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 14 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 84.9% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 85.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 85.6% | 85.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 96.8% | 96.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 98.7% | 95.2% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 7 · projected 1.7won(4)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 68.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 28 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 61.2%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 rbisJun 26 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 94.8%
- Book
- 92.9%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 83.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 79.4%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 26 · projected 1.9won(3)
- Model
- 44.6%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 17 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 98.6%
- Under 2.5 runsScoredMay 17 · projected 0.4won(2)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.8%
- Under 3.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 17 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 17 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 85.0%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 2.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 14 · projected 1.4won(0)
- Model
- 84.9%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 85.2%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 85.6%
- Book
- 85.2%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 14 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 96.8%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 98.7%
- Book
- 95.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Willy Adames's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Willy Adames, 15 won and 5 lost.
Every Willy Adames line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).