EdgeGoat
Xander Bogaerts
San Diego Padres · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.3% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.1% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 8 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 73.8% | 63.0% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.8% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.3% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 75.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 69.1% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 72.5% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.8% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.8% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.8% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 76.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 80.0% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jun 23 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 76.4% | 63.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 21 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.3% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.8% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 26 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 79.6% | 40.0% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 23 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.7% | 65.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 22 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.7% | 57.4% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 80.1%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 8 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 73.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 28 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 63.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 67.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 69.1%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.8%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 31 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 28 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 80.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJun 23 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 76.4%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 21 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.3%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 26 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 79.6%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 23 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 76.7%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 22 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 76.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Xander Bogaerts's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Xander Bogaerts, 10 won and 8 lost.
Every Xander Bogaerts line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).