EdgeGoat
Yainer Diaz
Houston Astros · #21 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yainer Diaz | Under 0.5 Batter BBCHW @ HOU | 82.7% | 81.0%−425 | +1.8% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBCHW @ HOU+1.8%
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 81.0%−425
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.3% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.8% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 61.1% | 48.8% | won(2) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 1 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 79.3% | 69.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 26 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.0% | 67.7% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Aug 20 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 97.5% | 82.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 77.2% | 64.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.9% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 74.8% | 65.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Jul 6 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 86.7% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.3%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.8%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 25 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 1 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 79.3%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 26 · projected 1.2void(0)
- Model
- 69.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBAug 20 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 74.8%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBJul 6 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 86.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Yainer Diaz today?
The strongest current line: Yainer Diaz under 0.5 batter bb (−425): model 82.7% vs book 81.0%, an edge of +1.8%.
How has the model done on Yainer Diaz's props?
Across the last 10 graded model lines on Yainer Diaz, 9 won and 1 lost.
Every Yainer Diaz line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).