EdgeGoat
Yordan Alvarez
Houston Astros · #44 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.9% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 11 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 65.2% | 47.6% | void(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 29 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 64.7% | 50.0% | won(5) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 26 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 65.0% | 50.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 25 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 65.0% | 58.3% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 23 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 64.5% | 48.8% | pending |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 29 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 64.8% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 12 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 64.4% | 52.4% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 66.4% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 2 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 67.1% | 60.0% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 67.6% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 29 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 63.4% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 70.6% | 69.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 28 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 90.1% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 28 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 70.7% | 70.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 27 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 99.3% | 52.4% | lost(3) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | May 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 67.5% | 48.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 rbis | May 27 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 48.9% | 42.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 70.7% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 27 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 90.0% | 48.8% | won(4) |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 11 · projected 2.4void(0)
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 29 · projected 2.3won(5)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 26 · projected 2.4lost(1)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 25 · projected 2.4won(2)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 23 · projected 2.4pending
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 29 · projected 2.4lost(0)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 12 · projected 2.4won(2)
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 66.4%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 2 · projected 2.0lost(4)
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 29 · projected 2.3lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 70.6%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 28 · projected 2.7lost(0)
- Model
- 90.1%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 28 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 27 · projected 0.7lost(3)
- Model
- 99.3%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredMay 27 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 rbisMay 27 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 48.9%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 27 · projected 2.7won(4)
- Model
- 90.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Yordan Alvarez's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Yordan Alvarez, 8 won and 10 lost.
Every Yordan Alvarez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).