EdgeGoat
Zack Gelof
Athletics · #20 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.7% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.2% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 26 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 47.8% | 44.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 87.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.7% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 13 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 76.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 75.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 8 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.1% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.4% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 70.1% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | May 21 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 46.7% | 38.5% | won(1) |
| Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 17 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 99.9% | 99.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 41.3% | 26.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 batterWalks | May 17 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 94.1% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 17 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 99.9% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 17 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.8% | 99.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 17 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 97.5% | 94.1% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 95.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 17 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.9% | 92.9% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.2%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 26 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 47.8%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 87.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 13 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 8 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredMay 21 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 46.7%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 17 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 41.3%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 1.5 batterWalksMay 17 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 94.1%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 17 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 99.9%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 17 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 17 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 94.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 95.2%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 17 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 92.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Zack Gelof's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Zack Gelof, 17 won and 3 lost.
Every Zack Gelof line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).