Final

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans PelicansRecap · NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

What the model priced before the start

The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.

Pre-game model lines: model probability vs book probability
Line	Model	Book
O 245.5 O 245.5 total	58.6%	41.7%+140
Saddiq Bey O 12.5 PTS	64.7%	48.8%+105
DeMar DeRozan O 3.5 AST	52.4%	37.7%+165
NO +1.5 O 1.5 spread	55.2%	42.6%+135
Dejounte Murray U 5.5 REB	72.6%	60.0%−150
Bennedict Mathurin O 10.5 PTS	51.7%	39.2%+155
DeMar DeRozan O 16.5 PTS	54.1%	42.6%+135
Trey Murphy III O 2.5 AST	70.7%	59.2%−145
NO ML O moneyline	50.4%	39.2%+155
Saddiq Bey O 1.5 AST	56.3%	48.8%+105
Nikola Jokic U 1.5 BLK	77.6%	70.6%−240
Trey Murphy III U 0.5 BLK	75.2%	69.2%−225

O 245.5 O 245.5 total
Model
58.6%
Book
41.7%+140
Saddiq Bey O 12.5 PTS
Model
64.7%
Book
48.8%+105
DeMar DeRozan O 3.5 AST
Model
52.4%
Book
37.7%+165
NO +1.5 O 1.5 spread
Model
55.2%
Book
42.6%+135
Dejounte Murray U 5.5 REB
Model
72.6%
Book
60.0%−150
Bennedict Mathurin O 10.5 PTS
Model
51.7%
Book
39.2%+155
DeMar DeRozan O 16.5 PTS
Model
54.1%
Book
42.6%+135
Trey Murphy III O 2.5 AST
Model
70.7%
Book
59.2%−145
NO ML O moneyline
Model
50.4%
Book
39.2%+155
Saddiq Bey O 1.5 AST
Model
56.3%
Book
48.8%+105
Nikola Jokic U 1.5 BLK
Model
77.6%
Book
70.6%−240
Trey Murphy III U 0.5 BLK
Model
75.2%
Book
69.2%−225

Frequently asked questions

When does Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans start?

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans (NBA) started at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans.

What was the final score of Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans?

Denver Nuggets won 104–91.

Build around this game in the app

See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).