Final
Miami Heat at Golden State WarriorsRecap · NBA · Thursday, November 5, 2026
Chase Center, San Francisco
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green O 5.5 PTS | 66.3% | 50.0%+100 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg U 7.5 REB | 72.3% | 57.4%−135 |
| O 239.5 O 239.5 total | 59.1% | 44.4%+125 |
| GS ML O moneyline | 76.0% | 62.3%−165 |
| Bam Adebayo U 1.5 STL | 66.9% | 54.5%−120 |
| Stephen Curry O 5.5 AST | 51.7% | 40.8%+145 |
| Brandin Podziemski O 3.5 AST | 73.0% | 62.3%−165 |
| GS -14.5 O -14.5 spread | 33.9% | 23.5%+325 |
| Klay Thompson O 9.5 PTS | 73.7% | 65.5%−190 |
| De'Anthony Melton O 2.5 AST | 51.9% | 44.4%+125 |
| Bam Adebayo O 16.5 PTS | 70.9% | 63.6%−175 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg O 17.5 PTS | 69.5% | 62.3%−165 |
- Model
- 66.3%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- Model
- 72.3%
- Book
- 57.4%−135
- O 239.5 O 239.5 total
- Model
- 59.1%
- Book
- 44.4%+125
- GS ML O moneyline
- Model
- 76.0%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- Model
- 51.7%
- Book
- 40.8%+145
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
- GS -14.5 O -14.5 spread
- Model
- 33.9%
- Book
- 23.5%+325
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 65.5%−190
- Model
- 51.9%
- Book
- 44.4%+125
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 63.6%−175
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
Frequently asked questions
When does Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors start?
Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors (NBA) started at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at Chase Center, San Francisco.
What was the final score of Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors?
Golden State Warriors won 120–100.
Build around this game in the app
See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).