EdgeGoatMinnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans PelicansPreview · NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO ML | 30.3% | 41.7%+140 | −11.4 pts |
| MIN ML | 69.7% | 63.0%−170 | +6.8 pts |
| NO +3.5 | 40.4% | 52.4%−110 | −11.9 pts |
| MIN -3.5 | 59.6% | 52.4%−110 | +7.2 pts |
| Over 230.5 | 63.9% | 52.4%−110 | +11.5 pts |
| Under 230.5 | 36.1% | 52.4%−110 | −16.3 pts |
- NO ML−11.4 pts
- Model
- 30.3%
- Book
- 41.7%+140
- MIN ML+6.8 pts
- Model
- 69.7%
- Book
- 63.0%−170
- NO +3.5−11.9 pts
- Model
- 40.4%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- MIN -3.5+7.2 pts
- Model
- 59.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Over 230.5+11.5 pts
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 230.5−16.3 pts
- Model
- 36.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Players on the board
Frequently asked questions
When does Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans start?
Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans (NBA) starts at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026 at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans?
The model projects about 235.5 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans?
The model favors Minnesota Timberwolves by about 6.6 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).