EdgeGoatUtah Jazz at Dallas MavericksPreview · NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
35.3%31.3%+4.0 pts
Model35.3%Book+22031.3%Edge+4.0 pts
64.7%73.3%−8.6 pts
Model64.7%Book−27573.3%Edge−8.6 pts
SpreadModel: DAL by 5.0
UTAH +7.5
Model57.5%Book53.5%−115+4.0 pts
TotalModel: 236.1 points
Over 225.5
Model75.9%Book53.5%−115+22.4 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL ML | 64.7% | 73.3%−275 | −8.6 pts |
| UTAH ML | 35.3% | 31.3%+220 | +4.0 pts |
| DAL -7.5 | 42.5% | 51.2%−105 | −8.7 pts |
| UTAH +7.5 | 57.5% | 53.5%−115 | +4.0 pts |
| Over 225.5 | 75.9% | 53.5%−115 | +22.4 pts |
| Under 225.5 | 24.1% | 51.2%−105 | −27.1 pts |
- DAL ML−8.6 pts
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 73.3%−275
- UTAH ML+4.0 pts
- Model
- 35.3%
- Book
- 31.3%+220
- DAL -7.5−8.7 pts
- Model
- 42.5%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- UTAH +7.5+4.0 pts
- Model
- 57.5%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Over 225.5+22.4 pts
- Model
- 75.9%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 225.5−27.1 pts
- Model
- 24.1%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Players on the board
Frequently asked questions
When does Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks start?
Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks (NBA) starts at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026 at American Airlines Center, Dallas.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks?
The model projects about 236.1 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks?
The model favors Dallas Mavericks by about 5.0 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).