EdgeGoat
Aaron Nesmith
Indiana Pacers · #23 · 52 games logged
MIN · last 2026.3
PTS · last 2013.8
REB · last 202.5
AST · last 201.6
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ MEM | 30 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Nov 1 | vs BKN | 30 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | @ MIA | 21 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | vs PHI | 27 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 26 | @ MIL | 21 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 25 | @ BKN | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 23 | vs DAL | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 27 | vs LAC | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 25 | vs LAL | 32 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 23 | @ ORL | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 21 | @ SA | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 18 | vs POR | 26 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 17 | @ NY | 24 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 15 | @ MIL | 29 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 13 | vs NY | 34 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 10 | @ SAC | 35 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 8 | @ POR | 25 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 6 | @ LAL | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Mar 4 | @ LAC | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 19 | @ WSH | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 REB | Nov 4 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 63.5% | 54.5% |
| Over 2.5 REB | Nov 1 · projected 3.6 | 3.6 | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Under 3.5 REB | Oct 30 · projected 2.9 | 2.9 | 60.3% | 51.2% |
| Over 2.5 REB | Oct 28 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 67.2% | 66.7% |
| Over 8.5 PTS | Oct 25 · projected 11.1 | 11.1 | 67.5% | 62.3% |
| Over 8.5 PTS | Oct 23 · projected 10.7 | 10.7 | 71.8% | 68.8% |
- Under 3.5 REBNov 4 · projected 2.8
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 2.5 REBNov 1 · projected 3.6
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 3.5 REBOct 30 · projected 2.9
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 2.5 REBOct 28 · projected 3.4
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 8.5 PTSOct 25 · projected 11.1
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 8.5 PTSOct 23 · projected 10.7
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 68.8%
Frequently asked questions
What is Aaron Nesmith averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Aaron Nesmith is averaging 26.3 min, 13.8 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.6 ast.
How did Aaron Nesmith play in the last game?
On Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at MEM, Aaron Nesmith recorded 30 min, 16 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast.
Every Aaron Nesmith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).