EdgeGoat
Ajay Mitchell
Oklahoma City Thunder · #25 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 points | May 20 · projected 0 | 0 | 27.4% | 16.0% | lost(6) |
| Under 1.5 assists | May 20 · projected 0 | 0 | 45.2% | 23.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 rebounds | May 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 51.0% | 21.1% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 20 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 87.4% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 87.6% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 assists | May 18 · projected 0 | 0 | 45.1% | 19.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 rebounds | May 18 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 51.1% | 22.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 18 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 90.3% | 76.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 5.5 points | May 18 · projected 0 | 0 | 31.8% | 14.3% | won(4) |
| Under 0.5 blocks | May 11 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 100.0% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 11 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 100.0% | 73.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 11 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 89.3% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 11 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 89.2% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 9.5 points | May 11 · projected 7.5 | 7.5 | 51.7% | 17.4% | lost(10) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 11 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 49.7% | 35.7% | lost(3) |
| Under 20.5 points | May 9 · projected 7.4 | 7.4 | 92.2% | 32.3% | lost(22) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 9 · projected 3.9 | 3.9 | 89.9% | 67.7% | lost(6) |
| Under 15.5 points | May 5 · projected 6.9 | 6.9 | 80.7% | 55.6% | lost(16) |
| Under 3.5 assists | May 5 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 77.2% | 55.6% | lost(4) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 5 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 75.7% | 51.2% | won(2) |
- Under 4.5 pointsMay 20 · projected 0lost(6)
- Model
- 27.4%
- Book
- 16.0%
- Under 1.5 assistsMay 20 · projected 0lost(2)
- Model
- 45.2%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 1.5 reboundsMay 20 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 51.0%
- Book
- 21.1%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 20 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 87.4%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 87.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 assistsMay 18 · projected 0lost(2)
- Model
- 45.1%
- Book
- 19.0%
- Under 1.5 reboundsMay 18 · projected 0.4lost(2)
- Model
- 51.1%
- Book
- 22.2%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 18 · projected 0.5lost(2)
- Model
- 90.3%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 5.5 pointsMay 18 · projected 0won(4)
- Model
- 31.8%
- Book
- 14.3%
- Under 0.5 blocksMay 11 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 11 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 11 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 89.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 11 · projected 4.3won(0)
- Model
- 89.2%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 9.5 pointsMay 11 · projected 7.5lost(10)
- Model
- 51.7%
- Book
- 17.4%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 11 · projected 1.7lost(3)
- Model
- 49.7%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Under 20.5 pointsMay 9 · projected 7.4lost(22)
- Model
- 92.2%
- Book
- 32.3%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 9 · projected 3.9lost(6)
- Model
- 89.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 15.5 pointsMay 5 · projected 6.9lost(16)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 3.5 assistsMay 5 · projected 1.9lost(4)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 5 · projected 0.5won(2)
- Model
- 75.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ajay Mitchell's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Ajay Mitchell, 8 won and 12 lost.
Every Ajay Mitchell line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).