EdgeGoat
Alex Caruso
Oklahoma City Thunder · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 30 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 71.6% | 40.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 4.5 points | May 30 · projected 2.6 | 2.6 | 47.2% | 15.4% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 30 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 99.7% | 44.4% | won(1) |
| Under 4.5 points | May 28 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 51.5% | 16.0% | lost(7) |
| Under 0.5 threePointersMade | May 28 · projected 0 | 0 | 93.3% | 20.0% | lost(1) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 28 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 60.3% | 43.5% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 assists | May 28 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 99.9% | 71.4% | lost(0) |
| Under 4.5 points | May 22 · projected 0 | 0 | 58.1% | 14.3% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 rebounds | May 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 51.2% | 14.8% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 assists | May 22 · projected 0 | 0 | 26.1% | 14.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 22 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 86.6% | 37.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 4.5 points | May 20 · projected 0 | 0 | 53.6% | 18.2% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.3% | 38.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 18 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.2% | 63.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 3.5 points | May 18 · projected 0 | 0 | 42.5% | 25.0% | lost(5) |
| Under 0.5 assists | May 18 · projected 0 | 0 | 25.3% | 18.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 18 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 70.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 rebounds | May 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 50.9% | 23.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 4.5 points | May 11 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 65.6% | 37.7% | lost(6) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 11 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 64.6% | 45.5% | lost(3) |
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 30 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Under 4.5 pointsMay 30 · projected 2.6lost(5)
- Model
- 47.2%
- Book
- 15.4%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 30 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 4.5 pointsMay 28 · projected 2.5lost(7)
- Model
- 51.5%
- Book
- 16.0%
- Under 0.5 threePointersMadeMay 28 · projected 0lost(1)
- Model
- 93.3%
- Book
- 20.0%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 28 · projected 1.3won(0)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 1.5 assistsMay 28 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 4.5 pointsMay 22 · projected 0lost(5)
- Model
- 58.1%
- Book
- 14.3%
- Under 1.5 reboundsMay 22 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 51.2%
- Book
- 14.8%
- Under 0.5 assistsMay 22 · projected 0lost(1)
- Model
- 26.1%
- Book
- 14.8%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 22 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 86.6%
- Book
- 37.7%
- Under 4.5 pointsMay 20 · projected 0lost(5)
- Model
- 53.6%
- Book
- 18.2%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 20 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 82.3%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 18 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 82.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 3.5 pointsMay 18 · projected 0lost(5)
- Model
- 42.5%
- Book
- 25.0%
- Under 0.5 assistsMay 18 · projected 0lost(1)
- Model
- 25.3%
- Book
- 18.2%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 18 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 reboundsMay 18 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 50.9%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 4.5 pointsMay 11 · projected 3.4lost(6)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 37.7%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 11 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 45.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Alex Caruso's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Alex Caruso, 2 won and 18 lost.
Every Alex Caruso line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).