EdgeGoat
Ausar Thompson
Detroit Pistons · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 points | May 15 · projected 6.8 | 6.8 | 70.1% | 57.4% | lost(10) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 15 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 54.7% | 25.0% | lost(5) |
| Under 7.5 assists | May 15 · projected 5.1 | 5.1 | 99.0% | 98.6% | won(4) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 78.7% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 steals | May 15 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 100.0% | 71.4% | lost(3) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 13 · projected 3.6 | 3.6 | 53.6% | 23.5% | lost(5) |
| Over 6.5 points | May 13 · projected 9.0 | 9.0 | 70.6% | 68.8% | lost(6) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 13 · projected 4.8 | 4.8 | 91.1% | 88.9% | won(5) |
| Under 2.5 steals | May 11 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 100.0% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 11 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 89.5% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 11 · projected 4.7 | 4.7 | 91.2% | 88.9% | won(1) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 11 · projected 3.5 | 3.5 | 58.0% | 23.5% | won(4) |
| Under 10.5 points | May 11 · projected 8.6 | 8.6 | 65.1% | 62.3% | won(4) |
| Under 2.5 steals | May 9 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 82.6% | 69.7% | won(0) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 9 · projected 4.5 | 4.5 | 90.8% | 88.2% | won(5) |
| Under 10.5 points | May 9 · projected 8.6 | 8.6 | 65.1% | 62.3% | won(9) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 9 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 89.7% | 69.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 9 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 56.7% | 26.7% | lost(5) |
| Under 6.5 rebounds | May 5 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 79.3% | 48.8% | lost(7) |
| Under 3.5 assists | May 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 77.3% | 68.8% | lost(4) |
- Under 9.5 pointsMay 15 · projected 6.8lost(10)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 15 · projected 3.4lost(5)
- Model
- 54.7%
- Book
- 25.0%
- Under 7.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 5.1won(4)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 98.6%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 78.7%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 2.5 stealsMay 15 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 13 · projected 3.6lost(5)
- Model
- 53.6%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Over 6.5 pointsMay 13 · projected 9.0lost(6)
- Model
- 70.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 13 · projected 4.8won(5)
- Model
- 91.1%
- Book
- 88.9%
- Under 2.5 stealsMay 11 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 11 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 89.5%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 11 · projected 4.7won(1)
- Model
- 91.2%
- Book
- 88.9%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 11 · projected 3.5won(4)
- Model
- 58.0%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 10.5 pointsMay 11 · projected 8.6won(4)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 2.5 stealsMay 9 · projected 1.4won(0)
- Model
- 82.6%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 9 · projected 4.5won(5)
- Model
- 90.8%
- Book
- 88.2%
- Under 10.5 pointsMay 9 · projected 8.6won(9)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 9 · projected 0.5lost(2)
- Model
- 89.7%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 9 · projected 3.4lost(5)
- Model
- 56.7%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 6.5 reboundsMay 5 · projected 2.5lost(7)
- Model
- 79.3%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 3.5 assistsMay 5 · projected 2.1lost(4)
- Model
- 77.3%
- Book
- 68.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ausar Thompson's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Ausar Thompson, 11 won and 9 lost.
Every Ausar Thompson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).