EdgeGoat
Austin Reaves
Los Angeles Lakers · #15 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 blocks | May 11 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 79.5% | 57.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 20.5 points | May 11 · projected 18.3 | 18.3 | 59.4% | 44.4% | lost(21) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 11 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 82.6% | 64.9% | lost(3) |
| Under 8.5 assists | May 11 · projected 7.4 | 7.4 | 91.7% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 11 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 58.1% | 40.8% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 11 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 100.0% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 6.5 assists | May 9 · projected 7.4 | 7.4 | 30.1% | 19.0% | won(7) |
| Under 3.5 threePointersMade | May 9 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 92.3% | 76.5% | won(1) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 5 · projected 4.7 | 4.7 | 72.5% | 63.0% | lost(6) |
| Under 20.5 points | May 5 · projected 18.1 | 18.1 | 57.9% | 51.2% | won(8) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 80.5% | 60.8% | lost(5) |
- Under 0.5 blocksMay 11 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 20.5 pointsMay 11 · projected 18.3lost(21)
- Model
- 59.4%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 11 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 82.6%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 8.5 assistsMay 11 · projected 7.4won(0)
- Model
- 91.7%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 11 · projected 2.1lost(4)
- Model
- 58.1%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 11 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 6.5 assistsMay 9 · projected 7.4won(7)
- Model
- 30.1%
- Book
- 19.0%
- Under 3.5 threePointersMadeMay 9 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 92.3%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 5 · projected 4.7lost(6)
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 20.5 pointsMay 5 · projected 18.1won(8)
- Model
- 57.9%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 5 · projected 1.0lost(5)
- Model
- 80.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Austin Reaves's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on Austin Reaves, 5 won and 6 lost.
Every Austin Reaves line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).