EdgeGoat
De'Aaron Fox
San Antonio Spurs · #4 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | Jun 13 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 99.9% | 85.7% | won(1) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Jun 13 · projected 5.6 | 5.6 | 68.8% | 59.2% | won(5) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | Jun 13 · projected 3.0 | 3.0 | 75.6% | 58.3% | won(0) |
| Under 17.5 points | Jun 13 · projected 14.2 | 14.2 | 70.3% | 66.7% | won(7) |
| Under 1.5 steals | Jun 13 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 93.4% | 69.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | Jun 10 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 80.7% | 76.5% | lost(5) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Jun 10 · projected 5.4 | 5.4 | 72.9% | 62.3% | lost(7) |
| Over 11.5 points | Jun 10 · projected 15.3 | 15.3 | 72.9% | 69.7% | won(13) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | Jun 10 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 99.8% | 86.7% | lost(3) |
| Over 0.5 steals | Jun 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 73.9% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Over 11.5 points | Jun 8 · projected 15.2 | 15.2 | 73.1% | 72.2% | won(12) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Jun 8 · projected 5.2 | 5.2 | 74.4% | 68.8% | lost(7) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | Jun 8 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 99.8% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 steals | Jun 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 74.3% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | Jun 8 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 80.4% | 75.0% | won(3) |
| Over 9.5 points | Jun 5 · projected 14.4 | 14.4 | 81.1% | 81.0% | won(11) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | Jun 3 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 75.4% | 48.8% | lost(4) |
| Under 17.5 points | Jun 3 · projected 14.4 | 14.4 | 68.3% | 63.6% | won(7) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Jun 3 · projected 5.3 | 5.3 | 76.9% | 63.6% | won(5) |
| Under 1.5 steals | Jun 3 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 93.3% | 72.2% | won(1) |
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeJun 13 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 85.7%
- Under 6.5 assistsJun 13 · projected 5.6won(5)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 3.5 reboundsJun 13 · projected 3.0won(0)
- Model
- 75.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 17.5 pointsJun 13 · projected 14.2won(7)
- Model
- 70.3%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 stealsJun 13 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 93.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 4.5 reboundsJun 10 · projected 3.3lost(5)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 6.5 assistsJun 10 · projected 5.4lost(7)
- Model
- 72.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 11.5 pointsJun 10 · projected 15.3won(13)
- Model
- 72.9%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeJun 10 · projected 1.8lost(3)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Over 0.5 stealsJun 10 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 11.5 pointsJun 8 · projected 15.2won(12)
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 6.5 assistsJun 8 · projected 5.2lost(7)
- Model
- 74.4%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeJun 8 · projected 1.7won(0)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 stealsJun 8 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 74.3%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 4.5 reboundsJun 8 · projected 3.2won(3)
- Model
- 80.4%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 9.5 pointsJun 5 · projected 14.4won(11)
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 3.5 reboundsJun 3 · projected 2.8lost(4)
- Model
- 75.4%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 17.5 pointsJun 3 · projected 14.4won(7)
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 6.5 assistsJun 3 · projected 5.3won(5)
- Model
- 76.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 1.5 stealsJun 3 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 93.3%
- Book
- 72.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on De'Aaron Fox's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on De'Aaron Fox, 14 won and 6 lost.
Every De'Aaron Fox line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).