
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers · #45 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 25 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 39.8% | 23.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 17.5 points | May 25 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 30.0% | 16.0% | lost(18) |
| Under 3.5 threePointersMade | May 25 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 78.2% | 64.3% | lost(4) |
| Under 2.5 assists | May 25 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 39.2% | 26.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 100.0% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 21 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 39.1% | 23.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 2.5 assists | May 21 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 36.9% | 28.6% | won(1) |
| Under 17.5 points | May 21 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.8% | 16.0% | lost(18) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 21 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 100.0% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 threePointersMade | May 21 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 79.5% | 63.6% | won(2) |
| Under 2.5 assists | May 19 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 36.9% | 28.6% | lost(3) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 19 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 49.1% | 40.0% | lost(4) |
| Under 3.5 threePointersMade | May 19 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 82.6% | 65.5% | lost(4) |
| Under 18.5 points | May 19 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 36.5% | 20.0% | lost(20) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 15 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 56.7% | 36.4% | lost(4) |
| Under 22.5 points | May 15 · projected 17.0 | 17.0 | 58.4% | 35.1% | won(18) |
| Over 1.5 assists | May 15 · projected 5.8 | 5.8 | 92.5% | 86.7% | won(2) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 15 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 100.0% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 3.5 threePointersMade | May 15 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 81.0% | 66.1% | won(2) |
| Under 22.5 points | May 13 · projected 16.2 | 16.2 | 61.9% | 33.3% | won(21) |
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 25 · projected 1.5lost(3)
- Model
- 39.8%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 17.5 pointsMay 25 · projected 1.4lost(18)
- Model
- 30.0%
- Book
- 16.0%
- Under 3.5 threePointersMadeMay 25 · projected 2.4lost(4)
- Model
- 78.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 2.5 assistsMay 25 · projected 0.5won(1)
- Model
- 39.2%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 25 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 21 · projected 1.5lost(3)
- Model
- 39.1%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 2.5 assistsMay 21 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 36.9%
- Book
- 28.6%
- Under 17.5 pointsMay 21 · projected 1.0lost(18)
- Model
- 31.8%
- Book
- 16.0%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 21 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 3.5 threePointersMadeMay 21 · projected 2.3won(2)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 2.5 assistsMay 19 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 36.9%
- Book
- 28.6%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 19 · projected 2.0lost(4)
- Model
- 49.1%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Under 3.5 threePointersMadeMay 19 · projected 2.2lost(4)
- Model
- 82.6%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 18.5 pointsMay 19 · projected 0.6lost(20)
- Model
- 36.5%
- Book
- 20.0%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 15 · projected 2.3lost(4)
- Model
- 56.7%
- Book
- 36.4%
- Under 22.5 pointsMay 15 · projected 17.0won(18)
- Model
- 58.4%
- Book
- 35.1%
- Over 1.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 5.8won(2)
- Model
- 92.5%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 15 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 3.5 threePointersMadeMay 15 · projected 2.2won(2)
- Model
- 81.0%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 22.5 pointsMay 13 · projected 16.2won(21)
- Model
- 61.9%
- Book
- 33.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Donovan Mitchell's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Donovan Mitchell, 10 won and 10 lost.
Every Donovan Mitchell line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).