EdgeGoat
Evan Mobley
Cleveland Cavaliers · #4 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 rebounds | May 25 · projected 3.7 | 3.7 | 40.1% | 21.1% | lost(6) |
| Under 2.5 assists | May 25 · projected 0 | 0 | 46.1% | 33.9% | lost(3) |
| Under 9.5 points | May 25 · projected 0 | 0 | 29.5% | 16.7% | lost(11) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 25 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 84.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 25 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 100.0% | 55.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.5% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 assists | May 21 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.9% | 39.2% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 21 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 73.9% | 66.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 21 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 100.0% | 54.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 21 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Under 5.5 rebounds | May 21 · projected 4.0 | 4.0 | 36.6% | 21.1% | lost(6) |
| Under 7.5 points | May 21 · projected 0 | 0 | 20.9% | 14.3% | lost(8) |
| Under 7.5 points | May 19 · projected 0 | 0 | 20.8% | 14.3% | lost(8) |
| Under 2.5 assists | May 19 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.8% | 33.3% | lost(3) |
| Under 5.5 rebounds | May 19 · projected 3.9 | 3.9 | 35.7% | 26.7% | lost(6) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 19 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 76.6% | 68.8% | lost(2) |
| Under 6.5 rebounds | May 15 · projected 4.9 | 4.9 | 50.2% | 36.4% | won(6) |
| Under 15.5 points | May 15 · projected 13.0 | 13.0 | 68.9% | 59.2% | lost(17) |
| Under 6.5 assists | May 15 · projected 5.5 | 5.5 | 94.3% | 91.7% | won(2) |
| Under 2.5 blocks | May 15 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 76.3% | 68.8% | won(2) |
- Under 5.5 reboundsMay 25 · projected 3.7lost(6)
- Model
- 40.1%
- Book
- 21.1%
- Under 2.5 assistsMay 25 · projected 0lost(3)
- Model
- 46.1%
- Book
- 33.9%
- Under 9.5 pointsMay 25 · projected 0lost(11)
- Model
- 29.5%
- Book
- 16.7%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 25 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 25 · projected 1.2won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 25 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 75.5%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 2.5 assistsMay 21 · projected 0.0lost(3)
- Model
- 44.9%
- Book
- 39.2%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 21 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 21 · projected 1.2lost(2)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 21 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 5.5 reboundsMay 21 · projected 4.0lost(6)
- Model
- 36.6%
- Book
- 21.1%
- Under 7.5 pointsMay 21 · projected 0lost(8)
- Model
- 20.9%
- Book
- 14.3%
- Under 7.5 pointsMay 19 · projected 0lost(8)
- Model
- 20.8%
- Book
- 14.3%
- Under 2.5 assistsMay 19 · projected 0.0lost(3)
- Model
- 44.8%
- Book
- 33.3%
- Under 5.5 reboundsMay 19 · projected 3.9lost(6)
- Model
- 35.7%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 19 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 76.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 6.5 reboundsMay 15 · projected 4.9won(6)
- Model
- 50.2%
- Book
- 36.4%
- Under 15.5 pointsMay 15 · projected 13.0lost(17)
- Model
- 68.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 6.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 5.5won(2)
- Model
- 94.3%
- Book
- 91.7%
- Under 2.5 blocksMay 15 · projected 1.6won(2)
- Model
- 76.3%
- Book
- 68.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Evan Mobley's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Evan Mobley, 7 won and 13 lost.
Every Evan Mobley line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).