Jalen Williams

Oklahoma City Thunder · #8 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Over 7.5 points	May 30 · projected 9.2	9.2	82.4%	58.3%	void(0)
Under 1.5 threePointersMade	May 30 · projected 0.6	0.6	99.7%	78.9%	void(0)
Over 1.5 assists	May 30 · projected 2.9	2.9	100.0%	81.0%	void(0)
Under 7.5 rebounds	May 28 · projected 2.1	2.1	99.0%	96.8%	won(0)
Over 2.5 assists	May 28 · projected 3.8	3.8	100.0%	73.3%	lost(1)
Under 0.5 threePointersMade	May 28 · projected 0	0	92.0%	42.6%	won(0)
Under 25.5 points	May 28 · projected 10.0	10.0	99.0%	98.0%	won(1)
Under 1.5 threePointersMade	May 24 · projected 0.5	0.5	89.4%	72.2%	void(0)
Under 1.5 steals	May 24 · projected 0.6	0.6	88.7%	78.9%	void(0)
Under 2.5 rebounds	May 24 · projected 1.3	1.3	37.5%	31.3%	void(0)
Under 9.5 points	May 24 · projected 0	0	33.6%	27.8%	void(0)
Under 8.5 points	May 20 · projected 0	0	32.8%	15.4%	won(4)
Under 2.5 rebounds	May 20 · projected 1.2	1.2	39.1%	20.0%	won(1)
Under 1.5 threePointersMade	May 20 · projected 0.6	0.6	88.7%	70.6%	won(0)
Under 1.5 threePointersMade	May 18 · projected 0.6	0.6	88.7%	70.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 steals	May 18 · projected 0.7	0.7	83.4%	73.3%	won(1)
Under 3.5 assists	May 18 · projected 0.5	0.5	47.6%	34.5%	won(3)
Under 0.5 blocks	May 18 · projected 0.1	0.1	90.6%	71.4%	lost(1)
Under 8.5 points	May 18 · projected 0	0	32.8%	20.0%	lost(9)
Under 2.5 rebounds	May 18 · projected 1.2	1.2	39.4%	28.6%	lost(3)

Over 7.5 points
May 30 · projected 9.2
void(0)
Model
82.4%
Book
58.3%
Under 1.5 threePointersMade
May 30 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
99.7%
Book
78.9%
Over 1.5 assists
May 30 · projected 2.9
void(0)
Model
100.0%
Book
81.0%
Under 7.5 rebounds
May 28 · projected 2.1
won(0)
Model
99.0%
Book
96.8%
Over 2.5 assists
May 28 · projected 3.8
lost(1)
Model
100.0%
Book
73.3%
Under 0.5 threePointersMade
May 28 · projected 0
won(0)
Model
92.0%
Book
42.6%
Under 25.5 points
May 28 · projected 10.0
won(1)
Model
99.0%
Book
98.0%
Under 1.5 threePointersMade
May 24 · projected 0.5
void(0)
Model
89.4%
Book
72.2%
Under 1.5 steals
May 24 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
88.7%
Book
78.9%
Under 2.5 rebounds
May 24 · projected 1.3
void(0)
Model
37.5%
Book
31.3%
Under 9.5 points
May 24 · projected 0
void(0)
Model
33.6%
Book
27.8%
Under 8.5 points
May 20 · projected 0
won(4)
Model
32.8%
Book
15.4%
Under 2.5 rebounds
May 20 · projected 1.2
won(1)
Model
39.1%
Book
20.0%
Under 1.5 threePointersMade
May 20 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
88.7%
Book
70.6%
Under 1.5 threePointersMade
May 18 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
88.7%
Book
70.6%
Under 1.5 steals
May 18 · projected 0.7
won(1)
Model
83.4%
Book
73.3%
Under 3.5 assists
May 18 · projected 0.5
won(3)
Model
47.6%
Book
34.5%
Under 0.5 blocks
May 18 · projected 0.1
lost(1)
Model
90.6%
Book
71.4%
Under 8.5 points
May 18 · projected 0
lost(9)
Model
32.8%
Book
20.0%
Under 2.5 rebounds
May 18 · projected 1.2
lost(3)
Model
39.4%
Book
28.6%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Jalen Williams's props?

Across the last 13 graded model lines on Jalen Williams, 9 won and 4 lost.

Every Jalen Williams line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).