EdgeGoat
James Harden
Cleveland Cavaliers · #1 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 25 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 33.1% | 19.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 12.5 points | May 25 · projected 0 | 0 | 30.2% | 23.5% | won(12) |
| Under 0.5 blocks | May 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 100.0% | 62.3% | lost(1) |
| Under 7.5 assists | May 25 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 76.9% | 69.7% | won(2) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 25 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 87.2% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 64.4% | 60.8% | won(0) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 21 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.6% | 47.6% | won(2) |
| Under 22.5 points | May 21 · projected 0 | 0 | 78.2% | 76.5% | won(18) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 21 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 66.9% | 61.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 21 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 33.8% | 25.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 21 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 86.6% | 73.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 19 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 44.0% | 35.1% | lost(4) |
| Under 20.5 points | May 19 · projected 3.1 | 3.1 | 62.2% | 61.5% | won(15) |
| Under 7.5 assists | May 19 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 80.3% | 64.3% | won(3) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 15 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 53.9% | 35.1% | lost(4) |
| Under 18.5 points | May 15 · projected 12.4 | 12.4 | 70.3% | 50.0% | lost(20) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 100.0% | 62.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 15 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 73.2% | 57.4% | lost(3) |
| Under 8.5 assists | May 15 · projected 7.2 | 7.2 | 87.4% | 77.8% | won(4) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 13 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 74.4% | 60.0% | lost(3) |
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 25 · projected 1.5lost(3)
- Model
- 33.1%
- Book
- 19.0%
- Under 12.5 pointsMay 25 · projected 0won(12)
- Model
- 30.2%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 0.5 blocksMay 25 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 7.5 assistsMay 25 · projected 2.5won(2)
- Model
- 76.9%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 25 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 87.2%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 25 · projected 2.1won(0)
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 21 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 22.5 pointsMay 21 · projected 0won(18)
- Model
- 78.2%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 21 · projected 2.0lost(3)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 21 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 33.8%
- Book
- 25.0%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 21 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 86.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 19 · projected 2.3lost(4)
- Model
- 44.0%
- Book
- 35.1%
- Under 20.5 pointsMay 19 · projected 3.1won(15)
- Model
- 62.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 7.5 assistsMay 19 · projected 2.7won(3)
- Model
- 80.3%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 15 · projected 2.0lost(4)
- Model
- 53.9%
- Book
- 35.1%
- Under 18.5 pointsMay 15 · projected 12.4lost(20)
- Model
- 70.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 15 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 15 · projected 1.8lost(3)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 8.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 7.2won(4)
- Model
- 87.4%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 13 · projected 1.8lost(3)
- Model
- 74.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on James Harden's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on James Harden, 9 won and 11 lost.
Every James Harden line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).