EdgeGoat
Joel Embiid
Philadelphia 76ers · #21 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 rebounds | May 10 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 63.5% | 29.4% | won(5) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.8% | 69.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 10 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 73.8% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 19.5 points | May 10 · projected 17.4 | 17.4 | 60.3% | 26.7% | lost(21) |
| Under 6.5 assists | May 10 · projected 6.0 | 6.0 | 99.0% | 78.9% | won(4) |
| Under 9.5 rebounds | May 8 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 92.6% | 58.3% | won(6) |
| Under 26.5 points | May 8 · projected 17.5 | 17.5 | 88.3% | 55.6% | won(18) |
- Under 5.5 reboundsMay 10 · projected 3.8won(5)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 29.4%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 10 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 81.8%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 10 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 73.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 19.5 pointsMay 10 · projected 17.4lost(21)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 6.5 assistsMay 10 · projected 6.0won(4)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 9.5 reboundsMay 8 · projected 3.8won(6)
- Model
- 92.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 26.5 pointsMay 8 · projected 17.5won(18)
- Model
- 88.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Joel Embiid's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Joel Embiid, 5 won and 2 lost.
Every Joel Embiid line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).