EdgeGoat
Keldon Johnson
San Antonio Spurs · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 rebounds | Jun 13 · projected 3.5 | 3.5 | 67.6% | 60.0% | won(3) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Jun 13 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 99.5% | 84.0% | lost(2) |
| Over 5.5 points | Jun 13 · projected 7.7 | 7.7 | 70.2% | 61.5% | won(7) |
| Under 1.5 steals | Jun 13 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 96.7% | 94.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Jun 10 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 99.5% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | Jun 10 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 67.0% | 55.6% | won(3) |
| Over 0.5 assists | Jun 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.4% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 6.5 points | Jun 10 · projected 8.0 | 8.0 | 68.4% | 52.4% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 assists | Jun 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.4% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 5.5 points | Jun 8 · projected 7.9 | 7.9 | 73.8% | 50.0% | won(7) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | Jun 8 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 67.0% | 53.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Jun 8 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 99.5% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | Jun 5 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 66.9% | 63.0% | won(3) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | Jun 3 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 66.9% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 steals | Jun 3 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 96.6% | 93.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Jun 3 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 99.5% | 76.5% | won(1) |
| Over 6.5 points | May 30 · projected 8.3 | 8.3 | 71.2% | 54.5% | won(9) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | May 30 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 68.8% | 62.3% | won(3) |
| Over 5.5 points | May 28 · projected 7.2 | 7.2 | 73.2% | 66.1% | won(7) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | May 28 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 69.9% | 62.3% | won(3) |
- Over 2.5 reboundsJun 13 · projected 3.5won(3)
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeJun 13 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Over 5.5 pointsJun 13 · projected 7.7won(7)
- Model
- 70.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 stealsJun 13 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 96.7%
- Book
- 94.7%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeJun 10 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 2.5 reboundsJun 10 · projected 3.4won(3)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 assistsJun 10 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 56.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 6.5 pointsJun 10 · projected 8.0lost(2)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 assistsJun 8 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 56.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 5.5 pointsJun 8 · projected 7.9won(7)
- Model
- 73.8%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 2.5 reboundsJun 8 · projected 3.3lost(2)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeJun 8 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Over 2.5 reboundsJun 5 · projected 3.2won(3)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 2.5 reboundsJun 3 · projected 3.2lost(0)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 stealsJun 3 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 96.6%
- Book
- 93.8%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeJun 3 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 6.5 pointsMay 30 · projected 8.3won(9)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 2.5 reboundsMay 30 · projected 3.4won(3)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 5.5 pointsMay 28 · projected 7.2won(7)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 2.5 reboundsMay 28 · projected 3.2won(3)
- Model
- 69.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Keldon Johnson's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Keldon Johnson, 15 won and 5 lost.
Every Keldon Johnson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).