EdgeGoat
LeBron James
Los Angeles Lakers · #23 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 steals | May 11 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 100.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 11 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 61.0% | 28.6% | lost(5) |
| Under 15.5 points | May 11 · projected 13.6 | 13.6 | 60.1% | 23.5% | lost(17) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 11 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.6% | 56.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 9.5 assists | May 11 · projected 8.9 | 8.9 | 93.4% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 11 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 91.7% | won(0) |
| Under 21.5 points | May 9 · projected 12.4 | 12.4 | 89.9% | 23.5% | won(19) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | May 9 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 74.0% | 73.3% | won(3) |
| Under 6.5 rebounds | May 5 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 86.7% | 48.8% | won(4) |
| Under 7.5 assists | May 5 · projected 5.8 | 5.8 | 82.9% | 55.6% | won(6) |
| Under 20.5 points | May 5 · projected 13.9 | 13.9 | 82.0% | 52.4% | lost(22) |
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 11 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 11 · projected 3.2lost(5)
- Model
- 61.0%
- Book
- 28.6%
- Under 15.5 pointsMay 11 · projected 13.6lost(17)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 11 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 68.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 9.5 assistsMay 11 · projected 8.9won(0)
- Model
- 93.4%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 11 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 91.7%
- Under 21.5 pointsMay 9 · projected 12.4won(19)
- Model
- 89.9%
- Book
- 23.5%
- Over 2.5 reboundsMay 9 · projected 3.3won(3)
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 6.5 reboundsMay 5 · projected 2.8won(4)
- Model
- 86.7%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 7.5 assistsMay 5 · projected 5.8won(6)
- Model
- 82.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 20.5 pointsMay 5 · projected 13.9lost(22)
- Model
- 82.0%
- Book
- 52.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on LeBron James's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on LeBron James, 7 won and 4 lost.
Every LeBron James line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).