EdgeGoat
Marvin Bagley III
Denver Nuggets · #3 · 67 games logged
MIN · last 2017.5
PTS · last 208.8
REB · last 205
AST · last 201
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TOR | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | vs POR | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | @ PHX | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | @ NO | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 26 | vs GS | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 24 | vs NO | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 22 | @ OKC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 10 | @ SA | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 8 | @ PHX | 26 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Apr 7 | @ LAC | 26 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Apr 5 | vs LAL | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mar 27 | @ POR | 27 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Mar 25 | @ DEN | 17 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 23 | vs GS | 15 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 21 | vs LAC | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 18 | vs ATL | 16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 16 | @ NO | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 15 | @ CLE | 16 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 13 | vs CLE | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 12 | @ MEM | 19 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 REB | Oct 22 · projected 4.9 | 4.9 | 63.1% | 56.5% |
| Over 7.5 PTS | Oct 22 · projected 9.5 | 9.5 | 53.8% | 35.1% |
- Over 3.5 REBOct 22 · projected 4.9
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 7.5 PTSOct 22 · projected 9.5
- Model
- 53.8%
- Book
- 35.1%
Frequently asked questions
What is Marvin Bagley III averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Marvin Bagley III is averaging 17.5 min, 8.8 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast.
How did Marvin Bagley III play in the last game?
On Wednesday, November 4, 2026 vs TOR, Marvin Bagley III recorded 14 min, 10 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast.
Every Marvin Bagley III line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).