EdgeGoat
Pelle Larsson
Miami Heat · #9 · 80 games logged
MIN · last 2029.8
PTS · last 2012.4
REB · last 203.6
AST · last 203.6
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ GS | 29 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Nov 4 | @ LAC | 35 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ LAL | 30 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | vs IND | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | @ ATL | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 26 | vs DAL | 34 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | @ CHA | 36 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 23 | vs DET | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | vs MIN | 24 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Apr 14 | @ CHA | 22 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 10 | @ WSH | 27 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 9 | @ TOR | 32 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7 | @ TOR | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 4 | vs WSH | 24 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Apr 1 | vs BOS | 38 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Mar 30 | vs PHI | 36 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 29 | @ IND | 36 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 27 | @ CLE | 26 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 25 | @ CLE | 34 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mar 23 | vs SA | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 AST | Nov 5 · projected 4.1 | 4.1 | 72.2% | 71.4% |
| Over 6.5 PTS | Nov 5 · projected 11.9 | 11.9 | 81.9% | 80.0% |
| Under 0.5 BLK | Oct 30 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 80.0% | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 AST | Oct 30 · projected 3.9 | 3.9 | 72.5% | 71.4% |
| Over 10.5 PTS | Oct 30 · projected 13.4 | 13.4 | 60.8% | 57.4% |
| Over 2.5 REB | Oct 28 · projected 3.9 | 3.9 | 69.1% | 64.3% |
| Over 2.5 AST | Oct 26 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 73.0% | 65.5% |
| Over 11.5 PTS | Oct 26 · projected 13.9 | 13.9 | 54.6% | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 REB | Oct 21 · projected 3.1 | 3.1 | 81.6% | 80.0% |
| Over 8.5 PTS | Oct 21 · projected 12.6 | 12.6 | 65.2% | 64.3% |
- Over 2.5 ASTNov 5 · projected 4.1
- Model
- 72.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 6.5 PTSNov 5 · projected 11.9
- Model
- 81.9%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 0.5 BLKOct 30 · projected 0.2
- Model
- 80.0%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 2.5 ASTOct 30 · projected 3.9
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 10.5 PTSOct 30 · projected 13.4
- Model
- 60.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 REBOct 28 · projected 3.9
- Model
- 69.1%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 2.5 ASTOct 26 · projected 3.8
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 11.5 PTSOct 26 · projected 13.9
- Model
- 54.6%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 1.5 REBOct 21 · projected 3.1
- Model
- 81.6%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 8.5 PTSOct 21 · projected 12.6
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
Frequently asked questions
What is Pelle Larsson averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Pelle Larsson is averaging 29.8 min, 12.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 3.6 ast.
How did Pelle Larsson play in the last game?
On Thursday, November 5, 2026 at GS, Pelle Larsson recorded 29 min, 13 pts, 1 reb, 4 ast.
Every Pelle Larsson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).