
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 points | May 30 · projected 23.8 | 23.8 | 100.0% | 86.7% | won(22) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 30 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 99.2% | 58.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 30 · projected 4.2 | 4.2 | 60.2% | 22.2% | lost(6) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | May 30 · projected 3.0 | 3.0 | 68.9% | 62.3% | won(4) |
| Under 6.5 assists | May 28 · projected 4.9 | 4.9 | 72.4% | 35.1% | won(4) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 93.6% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 28 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 100.0% | 85.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 28 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.0% | 54.5% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | May 28 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 58.3% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.6% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Under 4.5 assists | May 24 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 52.3% | 18.2% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 100.0% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 28.5 points | May 24 · projected 2.6 | 2.6 | 62.6% | 50.0% | won(19) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 22 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 69.7% | 21.1% | lost(6) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | May 22 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.8% | 56.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 22.5 points | May 22 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 31.5% | 22.2% | lost(23) |
| Under 29.5 points | May 20 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 66.2% | 59.2% | lost(30) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 20 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 37.3% | 28.6% | lost(3) |
| Under 4.5 assists | May 20 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 52.1% | 19.0% | lost(5) |
| Under 4.5 assists | May 18 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 52.1% | 23.5% | lost(5) |
- Over 21.5 pointsMay 30 · projected 23.8won(22)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 30 · projected 1.3lost(2)
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 30 · projected 4.2lost(6)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 22.2%
- Under 4.5 reboundsMay 30 · projected 3.0won(4)
- Model
- 68.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 6.5 assistsMay 28 · projected 4.9won(4)
- Model
- 72.4%
- Book
- 35.1%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 28 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 93.6%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 28 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 85.2%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 28 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 3.5 reboundsMay 28 · projected 2.7won(1)
- Model
- 58.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 24 · projected 1.1won(0)
- Model
- 68.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 4.5 assistsMay 24 · projected 1.2lost(5)
- Model
- 52.3%
- Book
- 18.2%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 24 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 28.5 pointsMay 24 · projected 2.6won(19)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 22 · projected 1.1lost(6)
- Model
- 69.7%
- Book
- 21.1%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeMay 22 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 22.5 pointsMay 22 · projected 1.6lost(23)
- Model
- 31.5%
- Book
- 22.2%
- Under 29.5 pointsMay 20 · projected 2.5lost(30)
- Model
- 66.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 20 · projected 1.6lost(3)
- Model
- 37.3%
- Book
- 28.6%
- Under 4.5 assistsMay 20 · projected 1.3lost(5)
- Model
- 52.1%
- Book
- 19.0%
- Under 4.5 assistsMay 18 · projected 1.3lost(5)
- Model
- 52.1%
- Book
- 23.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, 9 won and 11 lost.
Every Shai Gilgeous-Alexander line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).