EdgeGoatAustin Peay Governors at Wichita State ShockersPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena, Wichita
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| WICH ML | 79.0% | 89.5%−850 | −10.5 pts |
| APSU ML | 21.0% | 15.4%+550 | +5.6 pts |
| WICH -12.5 | 45.2% | 53.5%−115 | −8.3 pts |
| APSU +12.5 | 54.8% | 51.2%−105 | +3.6 pts |
| Over 154.5 | 46.0% | 52.4%−110 | −6.4 pts |
| Under 154.5 | 54.0% | 52.4%−110 | +1.6 pts |
- WICH ML−10.5 pts
- Model
- 79.0%
- Book
- 89.5%−850
- APSU ML+5.6 pts
- Model
- 21.0%
- Book
- 15.4%+550
- WICH -12.5−8.3 pts
- Model
- 45.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- APSU +12.5+3.6 pts
- Model
- 54.8%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 154.5−6.4 pts
- Model
- 46.0%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 154.5+1.6 pts
- Model
- 54.0%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers start?
Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers (NCAAB) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Charles Koch Arena, Wichita.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers?
The model projects about 152.8 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers?
The model favors Wichita State Shockers by about 10.9 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).