EdgeGoatBradley Braves at George Mason PatriotsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET
McArthur Center, St. Petersburg
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU ML | 65.8% | 90.9%−1000 | −25.1 pts |
| BRAD ML | 34.2% | 14.8%+575 | +19.4 pts |
| GMU -12.5 | 29.9% | 52.4%−110 | −22.5 pts |
| BRAD +12.5 | 70.1% | 52.4%−110 | +17.7 pts |
| Over 130.5 | 49.2% | 52.4%−110 | −3.1 pts |
| Under 130.5 | 50.8% | 52.4%−110 | −1.6 pts |
- GMU ML−25.1 pts
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 90.9%−1000
- BRAD ML+19.4 pts
- Model
- 34.2%
- Book
- 14.8%+575
- GMU -12.5−22.5 pts
- Model
- 29.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- BRAD +12.5+17.7 pts
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Over 130.5−3.1 pts
- Model
- 49.2%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 130.5−1.6 pts
- Model
- 50.8%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots start?
Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots (NCAAB) starts at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at McArthur Center, St. Petersburg.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots?
The model projects about 130.2 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots?
The model favors George Mason Patriots by about 5.4 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).