EdgeGoatBrown Bears at Siena SaintsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
MVP Arena, Albany
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
20.8%22.2%−1.4 pts
Model20.8%Book+35022.2%Edge−1.4 pts
79.2%83.3%−4.1 pts
Model79.2%Book−50083.3%Edge−4.1 pts
SpreadModel: SIE by 11.0
SIE -9.5
Model54.4%Book53.5%−115+0.9 pts
TotalModel: 148.6 points
Under 157.5
Model70.1%Book52.4%−110+17.7 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE ML | 79.2% | 83.3%−500 | −4.1 pts |
| BRWN ML | 20.8% | 22.2%+350 | −1.4 pts |
| SIE -9.5 | 54.4% | 53.5%−115 | +0.9 pts |
| BRWN +9.5 | 45.6% | 51.2%−105 | −5.6 pts |
| Over 157.5 | 29.9% | 52.4%−110 | −22.5 pts |
| Under 157.5 | 70.1% | 52.4%−110 | +17.7 pts |
- SIE ML−4.1 pts
- Model
- 79.2%
- Book
- 83.3%−500
- BRWN ML−1.4 pts
- Model
- 20.8%
- Book
- 22.2%+350
- SIE -9.5+0.9 pts
- Model
- 54.4%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- BRWN +9.5−5.6 pts
- Model
- 45.6%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 157.5−22.5 pts
- Model
- 29.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 157.5+17.7 pts
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Brown Bears at Siena Saints start?
Brown Bears at Siena Saints (NCAAB) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at MVP Arena, Albany.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Brown Bears at Siena Saints?
The model projects about 148.6 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Brown Bears at Siena Saints?
The model favors Siena Saints by about 11.0 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).