EdgeGoatThe Citadel Bulldogs at North Florida OspreysPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET
UNF Arena, Jacksonville
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
45.1%39.2%+5.9 pts
Model45.1%Book+15539.2%Edge+5.9 pts
54.9%66.7%−11.8 pts
Model54.9%Book−20066.7%Edge−11.8 pts
SpreadModel: UNF by 1.6
CIT +3.5
Model55.5%Book50.0%+100+5.5 pts
TotalModel: 157.2 points
Over 154.5
Model56.2%Book52.4%−110+3.8 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNF ML | 54.9% | 66.7%−200 | −11.8 pts |
| CIT ML | 45.1% | 39.2%+155 | +5.9 pts |
| UNF -3.5 | 44.5% | 54.5%−120 | −10.1 pts |
| CIT +3.5 | 55.5% | 50.0%+100 | +5.5 pts |
| Over 154.5 | 56.2% | 52.4%−110 | +3.8 pts |
| Under 154.5 | 43.8% | 52.4%−110 | −8.6 pts |
- UNF ML−11.8 pts
- Model
- 54.9%
- Book
- 66.7%−200
- CIT ML+5.9 pts
- Model
- 45.1%
- Book
- 39.2%+155
- UNF -3.5−10.1 pts
- Model
- 44.5%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- CIT +3.5+5.5 pts
- Model
- 55.5%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- Over 154.5+3.8 pts
- Model
- 56.2%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 154.5−8.6 pts
- Model
- 43.8%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does The Citadel Bulldogs at North Florida Ospreys start?
The Citadel Bulldogs at North Florida Ospreys (NCAAB) starts at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UNF Arena, Jacksonville.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for The Citadel Bulldogs at North Florida Ospreys?
The model projects about 157.2 combined points.
Who does the model favor in The Citadel Bulldogs at North Florida Ospreys?
The model favors North Florida Ospreys by about 1.6 points.
Build around this game in the app
See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).