EdgeGoatColorado Buffaloes at Providence FriarsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET
Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV ML | 67.1% | 88.2%−750 | −21.1 pts |
| COLO ML | 32.9% | 16.7%+500 | +16.2 pts |
| PROV -11.5 | 33.9% | 53.5%−115 | −19.6 pts |
| COLO +11.5 | 66.1% | 51.2%−105 | +14.9 pts |
| Over 156.5 | 54.4% | 52.4%−110 | +2.0 pts |
| Under 156.5 | 45.6% | 52.4%−110 | −6.7 pts |
- PROV ML−21.1 pts
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 88.2%−750
- COLO ML+16.2 pts
- Model
- 32.9%
- Book
- 16.7%+500
- PROV -11.5−19.6 pts
- Model
- 33.9%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- COLO +11.5+14.9 pts
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 156.5+2.0 pts
- Model
- 54.4%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 156.5−6.7 pts
- Model
- 45.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars start?
Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars (NCAAB) starts at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars?
The model projects about 158.4 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars?
The model favors Providence Friars by about 5.9 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).