EdgeGoatDelaware State Hornets at East Carolina PiratesPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum, Greenville
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU ML | 80.8% | 94.1%−1600 | −13.4 pts |
| DSU ML | 19.2% | 11.1%+800 | +8.1 pts |
| ECU -15.5 | 38.9% | 51.2%−105 | −12.3 pts |
| DSU +15.5 | 61.1% | 53.5%−115 | +7.6 pts |
| Over 146.5 | 37.3% | 52.4%−110 | −15.1 pts |
| Under 146.5 | 62.7% | 52.4%−110 | +10.3 pts |
- ECU ML−13.4 pts
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 94.1%−1600
- DSU ML+8.1 pts
- Model
- 19.2%
- Book
- 11.1%+800
- ECU -15.5−12.3 pts
- Model
- 38.9%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- DSU +15.5+7.6 pts
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Over 146.5−15.1 pts
- Model
- 37.3%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 146.5+10.3 pts
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Delaware State Hornets at East Carolina Pirates start?
Delaware State Hornets at East Carolina Pirates (NCAAB) starts at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum, Greenville.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Delaware State Hornets at East Carolina Pirates?
The model projects about 141.2 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Delaware State Hornets at East Carolina Pirates?
The model favors East Carolina Pirates by about 11.7 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).