EdgeGoatFurman Paladins at Belmont BruinsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET
Curb Event Center Arena, Nashville
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
38.4%42.6%−4.1 pts
Model38.4%Book+13542.6%Edge−4.1 pts
61.6%62.3%−0.7 pts
Model61.6%Book−16562.3%Edge−0.7 pts
SpreadModel: BEL by 3.9
BEL -2.5
Model54.3%Book54.5%−120−0.3 pts
TotalModel: 150.6 points
Under 154.5
Model59.0%Book52.4%−110+6.6 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL ML | 61.6% | 62.3%−165 | −0.7 pts |
| FUR ML | 38.4% | 42.6%+135 | −4.1 pts |
| BEL -2.5 | 54.3% | 54.5%−120 | −0.3 pts |
| FUR +2.5 | 45.7% | 50.0%+100 | −4.3 pts |
| Over 154.5 | 41.0% | 52.4%−110 | −11.4 pts |
| Under 154.5 | 59.0% | 52.4%−110 | +6.6 pts |
- BEL ML−0.7 pts
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
- FUR ML−4.1 pts
- Model
- 38.4%
- Book
- 42.6%+135
- BEL -2.5−0.3 pts
- Model
- 54.3%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- FUR +2.5−4.3 pts
- Model
- 45.7%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- Over 154.5−11.4 pts
- Model
- 41.0%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 154.5+6.6 pts
- Model
- 59.0%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Furman Paladins at Belmont Bruins start?
Furman Paladins at Belmont Bruins (NCAAB) starts at 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Curb Event Center Arena, Nashville.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Furman Paladins at Belmont Bruins?
The model projects about 150.6 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Furman Paladins at Belmont Bruins?
The model favors Belmont Bruins by about 3.9 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).