EdgeGoatHampton Pirates at Navy MidshipmenPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Alumni Hall (Navy), Annapolis
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
24.8%52.4%−27.5 pts
Model24.8%Book−11052.4%Edge−27.5 pts
75.2%53.5%+21.7 pts
Model75.2%Book−11553.5%Edge+21.7 pts
SpreadModel: NAVY by 9.1
NAVY -1.5
Model71.5%Book48.8%+105+22.8 pts
TotalModel: 132.9 points
Under 137.5
Model61.6%Book53.5%−115+8.1 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY ML | 75.2% | 53.5%−115 | +21.7 pts |
| HAMP ML | 24.8% | 52.4%−110 | −27.5 pts |
| NAVY -1.5 | 71.5% | 48.8%+105 | +22.8 pts |
| HAMP +1.5 | 28.5% | 55.6%−125 | −27.1 pts |
| Over 137.5 | 38.4% | 51.2%−105 | −12.8 pts |
| Under 137.5 | 61.6% | 53.5%−115 | +8.1 pts |
- NAVY ML+21.7 pts
- Model
- 75.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- HAMP ML−27.5 pts
- Model
- 24.8%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- NAVY -1.5+22.8 pts
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 48.8%+105
- HAMP +1.5−27.1 pts
- Model
- 28.5%
- Book
- 55.6%−125
- Over 137.5−12.8 pts
- Model
- 38.4%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Under 137.5+8.1 pts
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Frequently asked questions
When does Hampton Pirates at Navy Midshipmen start?
Hampton Pirates at Navy Midshipmen (NCAAB) starts at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Alumni Hall (Navy), Annapolis.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Hampton Pirates at Navy Midshipmen?
The model projects about 132.9 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Hampton Pirates at Navy Midshipmen?
The model favors Navy Midshipmen by about 9.1 points.
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