EdgeGoatIU Indianapolis Jaguars at Morehead State EaglesPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET
Ellis T. Johnson Arena, Morehead
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORE ML | 55.2% | 46.5%+115 | +8.7 pts |
| IUIN ML | 44.8% | 59.2%−145 | −14.4 pts |
| MORE +2.5 | 62.4% | 54.5%−120 | +7.9 pts |
| IUIN -2.5 | 37.6% | 51.2%−105 | −13.7 pts |
| Over 157.5 | 64.2% | 53.5%−115 | +10.7 pts |
| Under 157.5 | 35.8% | 51.2%−105 | −15.4 pts |
- MORE ML+8.7 pts
- Model
- 55.2%
- Book
- 46.5%+115
- IUIN ML−14.4 pts
- Model
- 44.8%
- Book
- 59.2%−145
- MORE +2.5+7.9 pts
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- IUIN -2.5−13.7 pts
- Model
- 37.6%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 157.5+10.7 pts
- Model
- 64.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 157.5−15.4 pts
- Model
- 35.8%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Morehead State Eagles start?
IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Morehead State Eagles (NCAAB) starts at 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Ellis T. Johnson Arena, Morehead.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Morehead State Eagles?
The model projects about 164.0 combined points.
Who does the model favor in IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Morehead State Eagles?
The model favors Morehead State Eagles by about 1.7 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).