EdgeGoatLouisiana Tech Bulldogs at Nicholls ColonelsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
David R. Stopher Gymnasium, Thibodaux
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH ML | 44.1% | 54.5%−120 | −10.5 pts |
| LT ML | 55.9% | 50.0%+100 | +5.9 pts |
| NICH -1.5 | 39.7% | 50.0%+100 | −10.3 pts |
| LT +1.5 | 60.3% | 54.5%−120 | +5.8 pts |
| Over 136.5 | 36.9% | 51.2%−105 | −14.3 pts |
| Under 136.5 | 63.1% | 53.5%−115 | +9.6 pts |
- NICH ML−10.5 pts
- Model
- 44.1%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- LT ML+5.9 pts
- Model
- 55.9%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- NICH -1.5−10.3 pts
- Model
- 39.7%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- LT +1.5+5.8 pts
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- Over 136.5−14.3 pts
- Model
- 36.9%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Under 136.5+9.6 pts
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Frequently asked questions
When does Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Nicholls Colonels start?
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Nicholls Colonels (NCAAB) starts at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at David R. Stopher Gymnasium, Thibodaux.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Nicholls Colonels?
The model projects about 131.3 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Nicholls Colonels?
The model favors Louisiana Tech Bulldogs by about 2.0 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).