EdgeGoatMiami (OH) RedHawks at Evansville Purple AcesPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET
Ford Center, Evansville
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
80.0%81.8%−1.8 pts
Model80.0%Book−45081.8%Edge−1.8 pts
20.0%23.5%−3.6 pts
Model20.0%Book+32523.5%Edge−3.6 pts
SpreadModel: M-OH by 11.7
M-OH -8.5
Model59.3%Book54.5%−120+4.7 pts
TotalModel: 152.5 points
Over 152.5
Model50.0%Book51.2%−105−1.2 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN ML | 20.0% | 23.5%+325 | −3.6 pts |
| M-OH ML | 80.0% | 81.8%−450 | −1.8 pts |
| EVAN +8.5 | 40.7% | 51.2%−105 | −10.5 pts |
| M-OH -8.5 | 59.3% | 54.5%−120 | +4.7 pts |
| Over 152.5 | 50.0% | 51.2%−105 | −1.2 pts |
| Under 152.5 | 50.0% | 53.5%−115 | −3.5 pts |
- EVAN ML−3.6 pts
- Model
- 20.0%
- Book
- 23.5%+325
- M-OH ML−1.8 pts
- Model
- 80.0%
- Book
- 81.8%−450
- EVAN +8.5−10.5 pts
- Model
- 40.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- M-OH -8.5+4.7 pts
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- Over 152.5−1.2 pts
- Model
- 50.0%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Under 152.5−3.5 pts
- Model
- 50.0%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Frequently asked questions
When does Miami (OH) RedHawks at Evansville Purple Aces start?
Miami (OH) RedHawks at Evansville Purple Aces (NCAAB) starts at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Ford Center, Evansville.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Miami (OH) RedHawks at Evansville Purple Aces?
The model projects about 152.5 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Miami (OH) RedHawks at Evansville Purple Aces?
The model favors Miami (OH) RedHawks by about 11.7 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).