EdgeGoatMorgan State Bears at Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
SECU Arena, Towson
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
51.6%52.4%−0.8 pts
Model51.6%Book−11052.4%Edge−0.8 pts
48.4%52.4%−4.0 pts
Model48.4%Book−11052.4%Edge−4.0 pts
SpreadModel: MORG by 0.5
MORG -1.5
Model47.0%Book48.8%+105−1.8 pts
TotalModel: 153.9 points
Over 151.5
Model55.6%Book52.4%−110+3.2 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD ML | 48.4% | 52.4%−110 | −4.0 pts |
| MORG ML | 51.6% | 52.4%−110 | −0.8 pts |
| L-MD +1.5 | 53.0% | 56.5%−130 | −3.5 pts |
| MORG -1.5 | 47.0% | 48.8%+105 | −1.8 pts |
| Over 151.5 | 55.6% | 52.4%−110 | +3.2 pts |
| Under 151.5 | 44.4% | 52.4%−110 | −8.0 pts |
- L-MD ML−4.0 pts
- Model
- 48.4%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- MORG ML−0.8 pts
- Model
- 51.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- L-MD +1.5−3.5 pts
- Model
- 53.0%
- Book
- 56.5%−130
- MORG -1.5−1.8 pts
- Model
- 47.0%
- Book
- 48.8%+105
- Over 151.5+3.2 pts
- Model
- 55.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 151.5−8.0 pts
- Model
- 44.4%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Morgan State Bears at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds start?
Morgan State Bears at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (NCAAB) starts at 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at SECU Arena, Towson.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Morgan State Bears at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds?
The model projects about 153.9 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Morgan State Bears at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds?
The model favors Morgan State Bears by about 0.5 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).