EdgeGoatMarshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State PenguinsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET
Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center, Youngstown
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU ML | 51.8% | 52.4%−110 | −0.6 pts |
| MRSH ML | 48.2% | 52.4%−110 | −4.2 pts |
| YSU +1.5 | 56.3% | 55.6%−125 | +0.7 pts |
| MRSH -1.5 | 43.7% | 48.8%+105 | −5.0 pts |
| Over 158.5 | 49.0% | 53.5%−115 | −4.5 pts |
| Under 158.5 | 51.0% | 51.2%−105 | −0.2 pts |
- YSU ML−0.6 pts
- Model
- 51.8%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- MRSH ML−4.2 pts
- Model
- 48.2%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- YSU +1.5+0.7 pts
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 55.6%−125
- MRSH -1.5−5.0 pts
- Model
- 43.7%
- Book
- 48.8%+105
- Over 158.5−4.5 pts
- Model
- 49.0%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 158.5−0.2 pts
- Model
- 51.0%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins start?
Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins (NCAAB) starts at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center, Youngstown.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins?
The model projects about 158.0 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins?
The model favors Youngstown State Penguins by about 0.6 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).