EdgeGoatNorthern Illinois Huskies at Bellarmine KnightsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET
Knights Hall, Louisville
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
47.8%57.4%−9.6 pts
Model47.8%Book−13557.4%Edge−9.6 pts
52.2%47.6%+4.5 pts
Model52.2%Book+11047.6%Edge+4.5 pts
SpreadModel: BELL by 0.7
BELL +1.5
Model56.7%Book51.2%−105+5.5 pts
TotalModel: 152.9 points
Over 149.5
Model57.8%Book52.4%−110+5.4 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL ML | 52.2% | 47.6%+110 | +4.5 pts |
| NIU ML | 47.8% | 57.4%−135 | −9.6 pts |
| BELL +1.5 | 56.7% | 51.2%−105 | +5.5 pts |
| NIU -1.5 | 43.3% | 53.5%−115 | −10.2 pts |
| Over 149.5 | 57.8% | 52.4%−110 | +5.4 pts |
| Under 149.5 | 42.2% | 52.4%−110 | −10.2 pts |
- BELL ML+4.5 pts
- Model
- 52.2%
- Book
- 47.6%+110
- NIU ML−9.6 pts
- Model
- 47.8%
- Book
- 57.4%−135
- BELL +1.5+5.5 pts
- Model
- 56.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- NIU -1.5−10.2 pts
- Model
- 43.3%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Over 149.5+5.4 pts
- Model
- 57.8%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 149.5−10.2 pts
- Model
- 42.2%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Northern Illinois Huskies at Bellarmine Knights start?
Northern Illinois Huskies at Bellarmine Knights (NCAAB) starts at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Knights Hall, Louisville.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Northern Illinois Huskies at Bellarmine Knights?
The model projects about 152.9 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Northern Illinois Huskies at Bellarmine Knights?
The model favors Bellarmine Knights by about 0.7 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).