EdgeGoatNJIT Highlanders at Fairfield StagsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
20.8%16.7%+4.2 pts
Model20.8%Book+50016.7%Edge+4.2 pts
79.2%88.2%−9.1 pts
Model79.2%Book−75088.2%Edge−9.1 pts
SpreadModel: FAIR by 11.0
NJIT +11.5
Model51.6%Book51.2%−105+0.4 pts
TotalModel: 139.5 points
Under 141.5
Model54.9%Book52.4%−110+2.5 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR ML | 79.2% | 88.2%−750 | −9.1 pts |
| NJIT ML | 20.8% | 16.7%+500 | +4.2 pts |
| FAIR -11.5 | 48.4% | 53.5%−115 | −5.1 pts |
| NJIT +11.5 | 51.6% | 51.2%−105 | +0.4 pts |
| Over 141.5 | 45.1% | 52.4%−110 | −7.3 pts |
| Under 141.5 | 54.9% | 52.4%−110 | +2.5 pts |
- FAIR ML−9.1 pts
- Model
- 79.2%
- Book
- 88.2%−750
- NJIT ML+4.2 pts
- Model
- 20.8%
- Book
- 16.7%+500
- FAIR -11.5−5.1 pts
- Model
- 48.4%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- NJIT +11.5+0.4 pts
- Model
- 51.6%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 141.5−7.3 pts
- Model
- 45.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 141.5+2.5 pts
- Model
- 54.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does NJIT Highlanders at Fairfield Stags start?
NJIT Highlanders at Fairfield Stags (NCAAB) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for NJIT Highlanders at Fairfield Stags?
The model projects about 139.5 combined points.
Who does the model favor in NJIT Highlanders at Fairfield Stags?
The model favors Fairfield Stags by about 11.0 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).