EdgeGoatPortland State Vikings at San Francisco DonsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
The Sobrato Center, San Francisco
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF ML | 74.9% | 82.6%−475 | −7.7 pts |
| PRST ML | 25.1% | 22.2%+350 | +2.8 pts |
| SF -8.5 | 51.6% | 54.5%−120 | −2.9 pts |
| PRST +8.5 | 48.4% | 51.2%−105 | −2.8 pts |
| Over 142.5 | 53.9% | 53.5%−115 | +0.4 pts |
| Under 142.5 | 46.1% | 51.2%−105 | −5.1 pts |
- SF ML−7.7 pts
- Model
- 74.9%
- Book
- 82.6%−475
- PRST ML+2.8 pts
- Model
- 25.1%
- Book
- 22.2%+350
- SF -8.5−2.9 pts
- Model
- 51.6%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- PRST +8.5−2.8 pts
- Model
- 48.4%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 142.5+0.4 pts
- Model
- 53.9%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 142.5−5.1 pts
- Model
- 46.1%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does Portland State Vikings at San Francisco Dons start?
Portland State Vikings at San Francisco Dons (NCAAB) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at The Sobrato Center, San Francisco.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Portland State Vikings at San Francisco Dons?
The model projects about 144.1 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Portland State Vikings at San Francisco Dons?
The model favors San Francisco Dons by about 9.0 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).